What is random?
Random events are events that happen in a way that cannot be predicted. Therefore, it is impossible to allocate such an event a precise probability (Teigen & Keren, 2020). For example, consider a case of falling down a flight in the next two months. This is a random occurrence; therefore, it is impossible to place an accurate probability on it. Furthermore, such events happen randomly without a specified pattern.
What do you think of the podcast and what they discuss?
The podcast involves a discussion about an English girl by the name of Laura Buxton. She is just shy of ten years old (WNYC Studios, 2009). Laura did not understand the strange direction of her life after the sweeping into the sky of her red balloon. The balloon had a label saying, please bring it back to Laura Buxton, and was drifted over England to the south. Something random happened next. Jad and Robert join Deborah Nolan to carry out an experiment involving single coin tossing in groups at least one hundred times to understand how one should think about chance, luck, and Laura’s case scenario. The podcast accepts that random events happen any time and anyhow, which is true according to my understanding of random events. Jay argues that random events are not miracles which I agree with. However, we can use randomized data to calculate the potential probability of an event occurring if it has happened severally before though probability will be an estimate. There is no guarantee of an event occurring in the expected pattern.
Describe an unexpected event in your life. It can be a true event or one you make up. Then, based on this podcast, describe two ways you could interpret this sudden event and its effect on your life.
Death of Levis, my beloved puppy, found me by surprise. as usual, I woke to see my friend Levis was no more. I could not imagine my puppy had left me lonely. he used to keep me company during my studies, at the movies, and almost in every part of my life. How I wish Levis could breathe again. This event was such an unexpected time and those who knew our relationship with Levis. Sometimes I thought it was a misfortune that will befall me because my puppy had become part of my life. However, death is a random event that occurs abruptly without a specified pattern (Jessica Espinoza, 2018). I feel lonely due to the gap left by my puppy.
Respond to two other student’s posts. No student should have more than two responses.
My classmates should understand events that happen in life unexpectedly are not miracles but random events. They have an unspecified chance of occurring at one point in one’s life.
Jessica Espinoza. (2018, November 8). What the loss of a pet taught me about life, death, and love. Delicious Obsessions® | Real Food, Gluten-Free, Paleo Recipes, Natural Living Info. https://www.deliciousobsessions.com/2018/03/loss-pet-taught-life-death-love/
Teigen, K. H., & Keren, G. (2020). Are random events perceived as rare? On the relationship between perceived randomness and outcome probability. Memory & Cognition, 48(2), 299-313. https://doi.org/10.3758/s13421-019-01011-6
WNYC Studios. (2009). A Very Lucky Wind. https://www.wnycstudios.org/podcasts/radiolab/segments/91686-a-very-lucky-wind
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